Monday, October 23, 2006

Feeling Safer Because Bush Invaded Iraq,
or Because He Ignored North Korea and Iran?

Understand What Is Really At Stake

Iraq Occupation Is Hindering The War On Terror
NIE Said Iraq Made Overall Terrorism Problem Worse. The National Intelligence Estimate “says that the Iraq war has made the overall terrorism problem worse.” [New York Times, 9/24/06]

North Korea Testing Nuclear Weapons
North Korea Now Has Nuclear Weapons. In October 2006, North Korea tested a nuclear weapon.A report by the National Security Advisory Group issued in July of 2005 states that “North Korea’s runaway nuclear program could be a direct path to nuclear terror…North Korea sells missiles and other dangerous technology worldwide, with no apparent limits or compunction…[the country’s] leaders and elite engage in smuggling, counterfeiting, and other illicit activities. These same people might traffic in nuclear materials the way A.Q. Khan trafficked in Pakistan’s nuclear technology.” [Washington Post, 10/19/06; Worst Weapons in Worst Hands, The National Security Advisory Group, July 2005]

Iran And Nuclear Weapons
Iran Pursuing Nuclear Arms Program. Iran hid its nuclear program for more than a
dozen years from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the nuclear monitoring arm of the United Nations, and now the United States and Europe contend that Iran is pursuing an arms program. In January of 2006, Iran restarted its effort to make atomic fuel after negotiations with Britain, France and Germany over the fate of its atomic program broke down. [New York Times, 4/28/06; New York Times, 8/7/06]

NIE: Iraq War Spread Jihad Ideology. An opening section of the report, “Indicators of the Spread of the Global Jihadist Movement,” cites the Iraq war as a reason for the diffusion of jihad ideology. The classified National Intelligence Estimate attributes a more direct role to the Iraq war in fueling radicalism than that presented either in recent White House documents or in a report released Wednesday by the House Intelligence Committee, according to several officials in Washington involved in preparing the assessment or who have read the final document. [New York Times, 9/24/06]


North Korea Testing Nuclear Weapons
North Korea Now Has Nuclear Weapons. In October 2006, North Korea tested a nuclear weapon. A report by the National Security Advisory Group issued in July of 2005 states that “North Korea’s runaway nuclear program could be a direct path to nuclear terror…North Korea sells missiles and other dangerous technology worldwide, with no apparent limits or compunction…[the country’s] leaders and elite engage in smuggling, counterfeiting, and other illicit activities. These same people might traffic in nuclear materials the way A.Q. Khan trafficked in Pakistan’s nuclear technology.” [Washington Post, 10/19/06; Worst Weapons in Worst Hands, The National Security Advisory Group, July 2005]

Experts Say Bush Administration Strategy Has Claimed Credit For Diplomatic
Process But Failed to Take Any Responsibility for a Lack of Results. A report by the National Security Advisory Group issued in July of 2005 states that “Since 9/11, in the face of North Korea’s runaway nuclear program, U.S. policymakers: did nothing as North Korea crossed redline after redline; claimed credit for diplomatic process (the Six-Party Talks) but have taken no responsibility for total lack of results; attempted to outsource the issue to China and then blame the failure on China; [and] tried to blame the Clinton administration, the administration that actually stopped plutonium production in North Korea.” The report continues by saying that during the Clinton Administration, North Korea had no plutonium, but during the Bush Administration, North Korea has at least four to six nuclear weapons worth of plutonium. [Worst Weapons in Worst Hands, The National Security Advisory Group, July 2005]

Iran And Nuclear Weapons
Iran Pursuing Nuclear Arms Program.Iran hid its nuclear program for more than a
dozen years from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the nuclear monitoring arm of the United Nations, and now the United States and Europe contend that Iran is pursuing an arms program. In January of 2006, Iran restarted its effort to make atomic fuel after negotiations with Britain, France and Germany over the fate of its atomic program broke down. [New York Times, 4/28/06; New York Times, 8/7/06]


Experts Say Bush Administration Strategy Emboldened Iranian Nuclear Program. The Bush Administration refused to negotiate with Iran for years, when the country was willing to make real concessions on its nuclear program. Just after the U.S. takeover of Baghdad in 2003, Iran proposed a dialogue with the United States. According to former senior director of the National Security Council, Flynt Leverett, the offer was “a serious effort.” The Bush Administration’s refusal to enter into talks, according to Middle East expert Trita Parsi, “strengthened the hands of those in Iran who believe that the only way to compel the United States to talk is not by sending peace offers, but by being a nuisance.” [Washington Post, 6/18/06; American Prospect, June 2006]

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